Toy Story 4 may set a new franchise record during its opening weekend at the domestic box office. Pixar's iconic property returns to theaters one more (and final?) time this weekend, with an installment that's apparently as emotional and funny as its three acclaimed predecessors. While the initial announcement of a Toy Story 4 was met with some skepticism - especially considering how perfect Toy Story 3's ending was - just about everyone is in agreement that this next chapter is a worthwhile and necessary epilogue that concludes Woody's arc.
Like most things Disney, Pixar is typically a lock at the box office. Last year, their Incredibles 2 made over $1 billion worldwide, and everyone knows their long list of hits by now. Toy Story 3 is one of the studio's most successful films yet, meaning the expectation is the fourth entry will be just as popular - if not more. Based on the latest projections, Pixar is looking at a huge opening.
Per Box Office Pro, Toy Story 4 is estimated to make $149 million domestically in its first three days, which would top Toy Story 3's debut of $110 million. This new figure is lower than the initial projections of a record-breaking $200 million opening, but this would still be a phenomenal haul and rank as the second-biggest animated opening weekend of all-time.
Whether Toy Story 4 makes $150 million, $200 million, or somewhere in between, its arrival couldn't come at a better time for Hollywood. The summer box office is in quite a slump right now, with major studio films like Godzilla: King of the Monsters, Dark Phoenix, and Men in Black: International struggling to draw in large crowds. One thing those three movies had in common is a mixed-to-negative critical reception, which hurt their commercial prospects. In contrast, Toy Story 4 earned near unanimous praise and is Certified Fresh on Rotten Tomatoes. That critical standing is only going to help matters, along with the fact Toy Story sports a multi-generational appeal that'll attract people of all ages.
There's also a fairly sizable void in the marketplace with regard to animated family films. While it's true The Secret Life of Pets 2 came out a couple of weeks ago, its numbers pale in comparison to its 2016 predecessor and it never was much of a draw. Based on Toy Story 4's ticket pre-sale figures, most moviegoers were waiting for Woody, Buzz, and the gang to return to get their animation fix. So, Toy Story 4 is opening at the perfect time, as there's barely any competition for its target audience and really none in general. Pixar may not break a record, but they're going to give the box office the jolt it desperately needs.
Source: Box Office Pro
- Toy Story 4 (2019) release date: Jun 21, 2019