Some box office experts are projecting that Spider-Man's first solo venture in the Marvel Cinematic Universe, Spider-Man: Homecoming, will gross up to $120 million during its U.S. opening weekend.
Starring Tom Holland as the titular character, Spider-Man: Homecoming is the web-slinger's second appearance in the MCU following his 15-minute introduction in Captain America: Civil War. According to analysts, the film should open with at least $90 million, but has a potential to gross an impressive $120 million, which is significantly more than The Amazing Spider-Man films that starred Andrew Garfield were able to gross in their domestic opening weekends. The first Amazing Spider-Man film opened with $62 million, while the second film grossed $91.6 million.
According to Deadline, Sony's expectations for Spider-Man: Homecoming are a more modest $80 million domestic opening weekend. The movie will have competition from Despicable Me 3, which did quite well over the Independence Day weekend holiday frame. However, if experts are correct and Homecoming debuts with $120 million, it still wouldn't match the $151 million opening of Spider-Man 3, the final film in the trilogy directed by Sam Raimi. Despite negative reviews, Spider-Man 3 is still the highest-grossing Spider-Man movie to date, with a worldwide box office total of $890 million.
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 was the MCU's first of three movies to be released this year, with Thor: Ragnarok being the last in November. Before Sony and Marvel made a deal allowing Spider-Man to be integrated into the MCU, Thor: Ragnarok was scheduled for release in July - but the date was changed to make room for the web-slinger's solo movie.
Spider-Man: Homecoming very much embraces its connections to the rest of the MCU - with Robert Downey Jr. costarring as Tony Stark/Iron Man in an important, mentor-type role in the movie. Also present in the film are various references to events that played out in previous MCU film installments (including, naturally, last year's Civil War). Homecoming is also a character-driven story, in the sense that it explores Peter Parker's desire to become an Avenger.
Described by many as a "teen movie," Deadline further reports that Homecoming is trending in a manner similar to Iron Man 3 with respect to its current demographic appeal (especially when it comes to men under 25). As indicated earlier, Spider-Man: Homecoming has a "certifiably fresh" 92% score on Rotten Tomatoes and is so far receiving near-universal praise from critics - something that should only bolster its box office prospects.
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