The latest season of The Challenge is well on it's way, premiering on April 1st. But this season looks to be no joke, there are some seasoned vets returning and some intriguing rookies debuting, and the latest Challenge twist is that no one can win the game without winning an elimination first.
That's a pretty big curveball, and it really changes the prospects for the season's competitors. So here are all of the female competitors of the season, ranked according to their chances of winning.
Bayleigh Dayton
Maybe Bayleigh will do shockingly well (rookies sometimes have a streak of beginners luck), but we're not expecting her to. As a Big Brother contestant, the whole format of The Challenge isn't very familiar to her, and she didn't finish very well in her Big Brother showing either.
And given that anyone going to the final this season has to beat someone in an elimination, we're guessing that unseasoned rookies like Bayleigh are going to be thrown in repeatedly until they're gone.
Jennifer Lee
At the very least, Jennifer knows how things work on a series that sees some serious physical competition. The Amazing Race doesn't have a lot in common with The Challenge, but it at least has more in common with it than Big Brother.
Rookies tend to be in eliminations constantly on their debut Challenge seasons, so even if Jennifer has some skills, she's really going to have to fight her way through every week.
Kaycee Clark
Of all of the reality TV cross-pollination that The Challenge participates in, one of the oddest is their recruitment of Big Brother contestants. They don't seem like a very natural match up, and it doesn't seem like Big Brother contestants ever stand out on The Challenge either.
But perhaps Kaycee Clark will buck that trend. She at least won the show that she was a part of, which makes her the most threatening rookie of the season.
"Big T" Fazakerley
Big T actually did better than most people expected in her previous season of The Challenge. She gave Georgia a really good run for her money in their elimination, an elimination that everyone assumed Georgia had in the bag.
And since the fate of this season rests on those who win eliminations, it seems that Big T's ability to perform beyond expectations could really help her.
Melissa Reeves
Melissa's performances in The Challenge have always been a little bit more than most might expect of her, but still leaves her in the middle of the pack in the competition.
She's definitely decent, but it would take some luck for her to make it all the way to the end too, especially since her hot head has gotten her booted from the competition before.
Kailah Casillas
Much in the same vein as Melissa, Kailah is a competitor who can do well but usually sticks towards the middle of the pack. And while Melissa was kicked off the show for fighting, Kailah was the one duking it out with her and was also eliminated because of it, which could be a problem.
Kailah does deserve credit where it's due, but as Lil Mama might say mentally, she's a bum (sometimes).
Mattie Lynn Breaux
Mattie Lynn Breaux is no joke and it's no surprise that the rest of the girls are scared of her. Clocking in at around 6 feet tall, Mattie could beat a lot of the girls in any physical elimination on her size alone. However, she's clearly not unbeatable.
No one wants to go against her, but she'll have to see an elimination to make it to the end, and eliminations are big wild cards for competitors who aren't completely well rounded.
Jennifer West
Jennifer West is a competitor that most of the other girls are intimidated by, as they should be. In terms of pound for pound strength, there probably isn't a girl on the season (and possibly isn't a girl in the entire series) who is stronger.
However as The Challenge has repeatedly proved, strategy can beat strength almost every time. And in an elimination with Tori, it seemed like Jenny really doesn't have it in her to actually hurt someone to win.
Nany Gonzalez
Nany has never really gotten a fair shake in her seasons of The Challenge. She's an above average competitor who isn't on the level of a Laurel or a Cara Maria, but plenty of girls who are as skilled or even less skilled than Nany have already won at least one season of The Challenge.
And she's one of the most seasoned competitors on Total Madness, so while she might not pull out a win finally, she has a better shot than most.
Aneesa Ferreira
Aneesa is another super seasoned competitor who has never actually pulled out a win, and she's also another competitor who is above average without meeting the standards of the best of the best.
Like Nany, the fact that she hasn't won has come down to luck more than anything, and she's pretty tough and pretty sharp, not to mention an elimination beast, so she could likely beat more than half of the girls on the list in an elimination.
Tori Deal
Tori Deal is definitely an above average competitor, but it remains to be seen if she's as great as some people (mostly Jordan) seem to think that she is.
She has already made it to the finals without coming in first a few times, and if history repeats itself, it seems likely that even if she does make it to the final she won't come up the winner this time either.
Jenna Compono
Jenna is kind of an odd bird in The Challenge. She seems like someone who wouldn't do well at all, but she's actually repeatedly proven to be a pretty exceptional competitor. Sure, she'll never be an Ev or Emily, but she can definitely compete.
And when it comes to this competitor field, there are some girls who could beat her, but no one here is a for sure winner against Jenna, so this may be one of her best shots at winning the game.
Dee Nguyen
Most people seem to have vastly underestimated Dee's abilities (especially Rogan, shockingly). Dee may hail from the UK's equivalent of Jersey Shore, but she has done really well and has already won one of the two seasons she has appeared on.
Most competitors take much longer to score a win, so it seems like Dee's prospects for this upcoming season are far better than most.
Ashley Mitchell
It's always hard to predict who will win a Challenge at the very start, but it seems like Ashley's chances are far better than the rest in this season. She's made it to the finals more often than she hasn't, she's won twice, and one of her wins was a solo victory.
And while she's not the best of the best at any one thing, she's well rounded enough and above average in enough different skills that she can give anyone a run for their money, and most importantly she gets the bigger picture of the game better than any of the other girls on this season.