Box Office Prediction - Justice League vs. Thor: Ragnarok

Our box office predictions for the weekend of November 17 - 19, where Justice League faces Thor: Ragnarok in a battle of the superheroes.

Welcome to the Screen Rant Box Office Prediction. Every week we put together an informal list of box office picks for the upcoming weekend to offer readers a rough estimate of how new releases (and returning holdovers) will perform in theaters.

For a recap of last week's box office totals, read our box office wrap-up from last weekend, and scroll to the bottom of this post to see how our picks matched up.

Full disclosure: Box office predictions are not an exact science. We acknowledge our picks may not always be correct. For the sake of offering a jumping off point for discussion, here are our picks for the weekend of November 17 - 19, 2017.

This weekend, Justice League opens in 4,051 theaters, Wonder debuts in 3,096 locations, and The Star plays in 2,873 theaters.

#1 - Justice League

Coming in first this weekend should be Justice League (read our review), the latest entry in the unofficially titled DC Extended Universe. The film marks the first time DC's most iconic heroes have joined forces in the same film, which is something fans have been waiting a long time to see. Though Justice League endured a difficult production on its way to the big screen, it's certainly a major cinematic event, and Warner Bros. has been hyping it up as so. As has become standard for DC's franchise, the reviews for the ensemble piece have been mixed-to-negative, but seeing that this is the last big superhero film of 2017, there will surely be interest in seeing it on the big screen.

That said, Justice League seems like it will be an unfortunate disappointment for WB commercially. Even when projections were at their most optimistic, it didn't seem like the team-up would be able to top the opening weekend posted by Thor: Ragnarok earlier this month. Now, things have gotten even worse, with the latest estimates coming in at $95 million for the first three days, which would be below the record-breaking numbers of Wonder Woman in June. Obviously, the word-of-mouth isn't doing Justice League any favors, perhaps diminishing interest amongst casual viewers. It will be interesting to see what the final numbers are, but at least WB knows they should win one weekend.

#2 - Thor: Ragnarok

The two time defending champ, Thor: Ragnarok (read our review), is our pick for second. Marvel's newest installment has been another big hit for the MCU, grossing $225.5 million in its domestic run up to this point. With fellow comic book adaptation Justice League finally premiering, business for the third Thor solo flick is going to take a bit of a hit. Due to the positive reception from fans and critics, Ragnarok should continue to score healthy numbers, but its time in the #1 spot is over.

#3 - Wonder

Our choice for third is Wonder (read our review), a new family film based on the inspiring novel of the same name. Though the movie is definitely smaller than some of its competition this weekend, it's positioned well to be a solid counter-programming option for those looking for a reprise from larger studio tentpole fare. The response to Wonder has been very positive, with many praising its overall message and strong performances. While it is not expected to be a top awards contender, this feel-good drama is an uplifting option for families (especially those with younger children). Projections have it pegged for around $17 million in its first three days.

Jacob Tremblay as Aggie in Wonder

#4 - Murder on the Orient Express

We believe Murder on the Orient Express (read our review) will come in fourth during its second weekend. Kenneth Branagh's adaptation of the Agatha Christie novel came in third last week with $28.6 million, a respectable debut for the film that received generally positive reviews. The demand for this one was never all that high, but it still should be able to attract older moviegoers in the mood for an old fashioned mystery film with charm and panache.

#5 - Daddy's Home 2

Rounding out the top five should be Daddy's Home 2, which came in second last weekend with $29.6 million. The comedy sequel got off to a decent start, but it's unlikely to have very strong legs at the box office. Reviews for this one were very negative, which means it did not have widespread appeal. Fans of the genre may still want to check it out, but it won't be able to get past that niche.

Last Week's Recap

Our Picks

  • Thor: Ragnarok
  • Murder on the Orient Express
  • Daddy's Home 2
  • A Bad Mom's Christmas
  • Jigsaw


  • Thor: Ragnarok
  • Daddy's Home 2
  • Murder on the Orient Express
  • A Bad Mom's Christmas
  • Jigsaw

Next Week: Justice League, Coco, and more!

Sources: Box Office Mojo (Release Schedule), Box Office (Opening Weekend Projections)

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