Golden Globes 2018 TV Predictions: Who Will Win, Who Should Win

UPDATE: Check out the full list of 2018 Golden Globes winners!

The Golden Globes are the precursor to the Academy Awards and the Emmys, which makes their early January ceremony something of a must if the Hollywood Foreign Press Association is going to make a splash before two arguably more prestigious awards are handed out. That doesn’t make the ceremony any less entertaining, both for people who enjoy watching celebrities mingle in the presence of an off-screen open bar and for those who enjoy taking the awards seriously, using winners and losers to adjust the odds of who will take home an Oscar or an Emmy later in the year.

Because the Globes hand out awards to both film and television, Screen Rant is splitting its coverage between the two (you can check out a link to our film predictions below). From here on out, then, this post will be dedicated to predicting who will take home an award this Sunday night, as an outstanding achievement in television.

Related: Golden Globes 2018 Movies Predictions: What Will Win & What Should Win

As is usually the case, the Hollywood Foreign Press Association have included some surprising choices this year, following up on the deserved awards handed out to the likes of Jane The Virgin’s Gina Rodriguez or Crazy Ex-Girlfriend’s Rachel Bloom. This time, it’s USA’s limited series The Sinner and SundanceTV’s follow-up from Jane Campion, Top of the Lake: China Girl. There are a few likely candidates in there as well, as Claire Foy stands a good chance of taking home an award in her last season as Queen Elizabeth in Netflix’s The Crown, as well as Will & Grace coming back from the dead to finally take home the award.

With any luck there will be some surprise winners at the Seth Meyers-hosted event, so we’ll do our best to predict the winners and also let you know who we think should have their overlong acceptance speech cut short by the orchestra come Sunday night.

Best Television Series, Drama

Elisabeth Moss as Offred in The Handmaid's Tale

The Crown (Netflix)

Game of Thrones (HBO)

The Handmaid’s Tale (Hulu)

Stranger Things (Netflix)

This Is Us (NBC)

Who Will Win: The Handmaid’s Tale

Who Should Win: The Handmaid’s Tale

Should Have Been a Contender: The Leftovers

While there’s a strong chance that the HFPA will throw everyone a curveball by making The Crown a back-to-back Best Drama Series winner, it seems unlikely that anything but The Handmaid’s Tale will take home the award. That’s especially true given the political climate and the rash of sexual misconduct allegations that dominated the news in the latter months of 2017. Besides, with Hulu already having taken home the Emmy, the HFPA will likely want to follow suit. It will also make for another freshman series to win the award at the Golden Globes, and who wants to buck tradition?

While The Handmaid’s Tale is the likely winner, considering the somewhat off year Game of Thrones had and the fun but uninspiring second season of Stranger Things, it might be a different story if HBO’s superlative but seemingly award-repellant The Leftovers had been honored for its third and final season.

Best Television Series, Musical or Comedy

Rachel Brosnahan in The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel

Black-ish (ABC)

The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel (Amazon)

Master of None (Netflix)

SMILF (Showtime)

Will & Grace (NBC)

Who Will Win: The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel

Who Should Win: SMILF

Should Have Been a Contender: Great News

With the trend set by the Golden Globes in recent years, it would seem likely that a first-timer will take home the award for Best Musical or Comedy. That’s promising for the two most likely contenders for the prize this year: Amazon’s The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel and Showtime’s SMILF. If Mrs. Maisel were to take it, that would make it the third first season win for an Amazon series, following in the footsteps of Mozart in the Jungle and Transparent. For its part, Showtime’s no stranger to first season wins either, with Homeland and The Affair taking home trophies in their respective first seasons as well. This time, however, it seems likely Amazon will again go home a winner, as Mrs. Maisel boasts a breakthrough performance from Rachel Brosnahan and the name of Amy Sherman-Palladino.

While Mrs. Maisel is certainly the odds-on favorite, there’s no discounting SMILF or its creator and star Frankie Shaw delivering a surprise win. The HFPA Have demonstrated a fondness for Showtime’s first season shows in the past, and, like Mrs. Maisel, SMILF is a female driven endeavor, making it an easy contender for the award.

Take into consideration the HFPA’s predilection for making unconventional nominations, and it wouldn’t be too terribly out of character to think they might nominate NBC’s unconventional and very funny workplace comedy Great News. The series is having a very good second season and is deserving of some unexpected accolades.

Best Television Limited Series or Motion Picture Made for Television

Big Little Lies

Big Little Lies (HBO)

Fargo (FX)

FEUD: Bette and Joan (FX)

The Sinner (USA)

Top of the Lake: China Girl (SundanceTV)

Who Will Win: Big Little Lies

Who Should Win: Big Little Lies

Should Have Been a Contender: Godless

HBO will continue the awards train at the Golden Globes with another win for Big Little Lies. Though the HFPA has been known to throw a curveball here and there, especially with shows that have already racked up awards elsewhere, the likelihood of that happening with this star-studded affair seems incredibly unlikely. For one, essentially the entire cast has been nominated as well, which is a pretty good indicator of where the HFPA‘s collective heads are at. It wouldn’t be outside the realm of possibility to think The Sinner would nab the award, but given how much buzz was and still is around Big Little Lies, the (former) limited series will be the winner.

What about Scott Frank’s astonishingly well made ode to classic Western cinema with Godless, though? The sumptuous limited series landed on Netflix near the end of the year, but it too offered a star-studded cast that included Michelle Dockery, Merritt Wever, Jeff Daniels, Scoot McNairy, and Jack O’Connell. With a cast like that delivering solid performances, it’s easy to think Godless could have earned a nomination.

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