Better Call Saul season 6 is underway, and thus far Nacho Varga (Michael Mando) seems much more likely to die within it than Kim Wexler (Rhea Seehorn). The Breaking Bad spinoff has wrapped up filming, with the 13-episode final season premiering on April 18 on AMC for its first seven episodes and July 11 for the final six. Season 5 ended with both Kim and Nacho in vulnerable positions, and both characters are missing from Breaking Bad. It's thus expected that season 6 will explain their potentially tragic exit, but Nacho's end promises to be the more tragic one.
Better Call Saul's season 5 finale saw Kim make a proposition shocking even for Jimmy (Bob Odenkirk): frame Howard Hamlin (Patrick Fabian) for something illegal that would end his career along with the years-long Class Action Lawsuit against Sandpiper Crossing, giving both Jimmy and her a hefty settlement. Kim's finger guns scene in the season 5 finale suggests she may be past the point of redemption, which means she'll most likely be the master of her own demise (possibly facilitated by Jimmy) in season 6. On the other hand, Nacho seems to be caught between a rock and a hard place: he has been working as a double agent for Hector Salamanca's (Mark Margolis) and Gus Fring's (Giancarlo Esposito) cartels for a while, but the failed assassination attempt on Lalo Salamanca (Tony Dalton) left Nacho in a more perilous position than ever before.
If Kim is in a dangerous position in Better Call Saul season 6, it's because she's seeing to it. She has become increasingly impulsive and irrational over the last seasons, and Better Call Saul has been teasing Kim's sad fate through a variety of hints, including the blue color palette which always surrounds her. If she goes through with her plan to frame Howard, it's likely she will end up in prison or at the very least, far away from the lawyer world. But as of the season 5 finale, Nacho is in the most precarious position. He has nearly escaped Lalo's place, but Lalo knows who he is now. According to showrunner Peter Gould (via The Wrap), "He looks over very deliberately at the glasses and the liquor that he was drinking with Nacho... I think he’s put together an awful lot. I think the pieces and scales are falling from Lalo Salamanca’s eyes." And given Lalo is one of the most psychopathic, coldblooded characters in the Breaking Bad universe, it's likely that his way of getting revenge on Nacho will not be a kind one.
Lalo was part of a Breaking Bad throwaway line which eventually became a great Better Call Saul story. When Walt (Bryan Cranston) and Jesse (Aaron Paul) kidnap Jimmy, he tells them that "it was Ignacio", and then, when they're confused, he asks "Lalo didn't send you?" Better Call Saul viewers now know this was an episode concerning Nacho and Lalo - whatever transpired between the two deeply scarred Jimmy (or Saul), as he is still scared of Lalo years later, in the Breaking Bad timeline. It would come as no surprise if Nacho dies as a result of Lalo's accumulated anger, which has been gathering throughout Better Call Saul's season 5.
Executive producer Thomas Schnauz promised "physical and emotional violence" in season 6, which had many worrying for Kim and Nacho in Better Call Saul's season 6. While Kim will most likely be the one to be emotionally hurt as she sacrifices her career as a lawyer (and potentially her relationship with Jimmy), Nacho is the most likely victim of season 6's bloodshed. His only hope is Mike Ehrmantraut (Jonathan Banks), who has often protected Nacho as his surrogate son, but Nacho has his own dad to worry about, and he might end up losing his life to protect his father's as two major drug kingpins go to war and want him eliminated.