Marvel and Sony have joined forces for the first time to bring Spider-Man: Homecoming to life, and it has an early opening weekend projection of $135 million. Tom Holland first made his debut as Spider-Man in Captain America: Civil War and was instantly a fan-favorite for his portrayal of the beloved web-crawler. Ever since then, the hunger for more Spider-Man films has been reinvigorated and just in time. Holland is less than two months away from seeing his solo franchise make it to the big screen, and it already has some lofty expectations.
Not only are fans of Spider-Man hoping that the Marvel/Sony partnership will provide them with the best solo Spider-Man film ever, but it will also be a very different movie than those from before. This direction appears to have hit audiences in a sweet spot, with early projections touting Homecoming as sure to be one of summer’s biggest winners.
Box Office Pro has released the long range tracking for Homecoming and have calculated a $135 million opening weekend domestically. This opening weekend then projects for Homecoming to earn around $325 million in total at the domestic box office. Both figures would likely put the Spidey solo film near the top earners at the box office this year (assuming international markets also flock to theaters), and it stacks up very well with previous Marvel Cinematic Universe films, but also previous Spider-Man iterations.
When compared to its MCU counterparts, a $135M opening for Homecoming would make it the sixth biggest opening out of 16 films. Not only that but, it would also be the biggest non-sequel and non-Avengers opening in MCU history, crushing the record set by Iron Man‘s $98.6M. Part of that can be attributed to the draw of Robert Downey Jr.’s Iron Man appearing, but it’s still quite a feat.
Not only that, but when compared to other Spider-Man movies that have come before, this would be the second biggest opening of any Spidey led film, just behind Spider-Man 3. For comparison, Tobey Maguire’s first film opened to $114.8M, while Andrew Garfield’s Amazing Spider-Man debuted with $62M. If the final numbers come July are close to (or higher than) this early projection, both Marvel and Sony will undoubtedly be happy they’re working together.
That said, tracking is a notoriously difficult process and can fluctuate drastically between just a few days. This can especially be applied to early tracking such as this. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2‘s early projections pegged it for more than $160M in its opening – it came $14M short officially – and Wonder Woman had an early forecast of more than $80M, but now it’s projected for an opening ranging from $65-115M. This is not to say that the $135M opening is out of question for Homecoming because reviews and word of mouth will once again go a long way in determining its success, but there are many cases of tracking being off. Either way, Homecoming‘s projections will be something to look out for over the next few weeks.
Source: Box Office Pro