Welcome to the Screen Rant Box Office Prediction. Every week we put together an informal list of box office picks for the upcoming weekend — to offer readers a rough estimate of how new releases (and returning holdovers) will perform in theaters.

For a recap of last week’s box office totals, read our box office wrap-up from Spectre’s opening weekend — and scroll to the bottom of this post to see how our previous picks measured up.

Full disclosure: Box office predictions are not an exact science. We acknowledge our picks may not always be correct. For the sake of offering a jumping off point for discussion, here are our picks for the weekend of November 13 – 15.

This weekend, Love the Coopers will play in 2,500 theaters and The 33 debuts in more than 2,400 locations. In limited release, By the Sea opens in 10 theaters.

#1 – Spectre

Look for last week’s champ, Spectre (read our review) to come out on top for the second straight week. The latest James Bond film made $70.4 million in its first three days, which is considerably below how predecessor Skyfall debuted, but still a very strong opening that revived a dormant marketplace. The word-of-mouth surrounding the film is somewhat mixed, but when something like 007 is involved, that should not have much of an impact. As is the case with all tentpoles, Spectre should see a large decrease as it heads into its second weekend, but it opened so much higher than anything else that it would have to take a major fall to be knocked off the #1 spot.

Jame Bond Spectre Reviews starring Daniel Craig Christoph Waltz Lea Seydoux Dave Bautista and Ralph Fiennes Box Office Prediction: Spectre vs. Love the Coopers


#2 – The Peanuts Movie

Coming in second once more should be The Peanuts Movie (read our review), which came in this spot last week with $44.2 million. The film should continue to be the go-to option for families, as it has scored a strong response from both critics and moviegoers. It has a multi-generational appeal that’s absent in most movies currently playing, meaning another profitable weekend is in the cards.

#3 – Love the Coopers

Coming in third should be the ensemble comedy Love the Coopers, which revolves around a family getting together for the holidays. The film sports a high-profile cast that includes the likes of Ed Helms, Anthony Mackie, Olivia Wilde, and Marisa Tomei, but that’s not expected to give it much of a boost commercially. CBS Films has not put together the most visible marketing campaign, meaning that awareness is going to be an issue here. Love the Coopers is currently projected to make $8 million in its first three days. With the box office top heavy right now, it should be able to post respectable numbers even if it doesn’t break the bank.

Love the Coopers box office prediction Box Office Prediction: Spectre vs. Love the Coopers


#4 – The Martian

Our pick for fourth is The Martian (read our review), which has been hanging around the top five for over a month now. Ridley Scott’s latest has had the benefit of stellar word-of-mouth and even small scatterings of Oscar buzz since its release. Business is slowing down, but The Martian remains an appealing option for moviegoers.

#5 – The 33

Rounding out the top five should be The 33, a true-story drama based on the Chilean miners who were trapped in a mine during the 2010 disaster. It’s arriving to theaters with minimal buzz and the reviews have been mostly negative, so it’s hard to see The 33 emerging as one of the weekend’s top earners. However, audiences do like a feel-good story that tugs at the heartstrings, and this could be a good counter-programming option for those not interested in big blockbusters. It’s currently tracking to make $7 million in its first three days.

Last Week’s Recap

Our Picks:

  1. Spectre
  2. The Peanuts Movie
  3. The Martian
  4. Bridge of Spies
  5. Goosebumps

Actuals:

  1. Spectre
  2. The Peanuts Movie
  3. The Martian
  4. Goosebumps
  5. Bridge of Spies

Next Week: Spectre, The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 2, and more!

Source: Box Office Mojo (Release Schedule) and Box Office [1], [2] (Opening Weekend Projections)