Box Office Prediction: ‘Out of the Furnace’ vs. ‘Hunger Games: Catching Fire’

Published 8 months ago by

Out of the Furnace vs. Catching Fire 570x294 Box Office Prediction: Out of the Furnace vs. Hunger Games: Catching Fire
Welcome to the Screen Rant Box Office Prediction. Every week we put together an informal list of box office picks for the upcoming weekend – in collaboration with the Screen Rant Underground podcast Box Office Battle – to offer readers a rough estimate of how new releases (and returning holdovers) will perform in theaters.

For a recap of last week’s box office totals, read our box office wrap-up from Frozen‘s opening weekend – and scroll to the bottom of this post to see how our previous picks measured up.

Full disclosure: Box office predictions are not an exact science. We acknowledge that our picks may not always be correct. For the sake of offering a jumping off point for discussion, here are our picks for the weekend of December 6 – 8, 2013.

This weekend, revenge thriller Out of the Furnace opens in 2,000 theaters. The Coen brothers’ music drama Inside Llewyn Davis sees a limited release of four theaters.

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#1 – The Hunger Games: Catching Fire

Once again, our pick for the top spot is The Hunger Games: Catching Fire (read our review). The highly anticipated sequel has quickly become one of the biggest box office hits of the year, grossing $296.2 million in two weeks. It still has the blockbuster market all to itself (The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug doesn’t come out until next week), so it should continue to draw in audiences and remain at number one for at least another week.

Jennifer Lawrence as Katniss Everdeen in The Hunger Games Catching Fire Box Office Prediction: Out of the Furnace vs. Hunger Games: Catching Fire

#2 – Frozen

Look for Disney’s latest, Frozen (read our review), to come in second again. The animated film took advantage of the lack of family-friendly offerings over the Thanksgiving weekend, grossing an impressive $93.5 million over the five days. With no new similar titles on the horizon, Frozen should have a long and prosperous theatrical run during the holiday season.

While the Hunger Games fan base might be too wide for Frozen to contend with, the race could turn out closer than one would think. On Sunday, Frozen out grossed Catching Fire and became the daily leader. Our money is on Katniss, but it’s an interesting development to watch.

#3 – Out of the Furnace

This week’s lone wide release, Out of the Furnace, is our choice for third. Star Christian Bale has see his popularity rise in recent years thanks to his turns in box office hits such as the Dark Knight trilogy and The Fighter. Even though Out of the Furnace is not expected to reach the heights of those films, Bale’s presence should help this movie post solid numbers. It will most likely find an audience with adult moviegoers and prove to be a good option for that demographic until American Hustle and The Wolf of Wall Street open later this month.

#4 – Thor: The Dark World

Our choice for fourth is Thor: The Dark World (read our review). The latest offering from the Marvel Cinematic Universe made over $11 million last weekend. While there’s still enough interest in Thor and Loki for it to stay in the top five, the demand that fueled its $85.7 million opening weekend isn’t there anymore.

Thor 2 The Dark World Star Chris Hemsworth Box Office Prediction: Out of the Furnace vs. Hunger Games: Catching Fire

#5 – The Best Man Holiday

Rounding out the top five should be The Best Man Holiday (read our review). Universal’s dramedy sequel has hung with tough competition to make over $63 million in three weeks. Its Christmas setting will make it an enticing option throughout the month.

#10 – The Book Thief

Our tiebreaker for this week is The Book Thief (read our review), which finished in seventh place last week.

Notes

The Coen brothers have put up respectable box office numbers throughout their career (2009’s A Serious Man is a recent outlier of the trend, however, that film’s “widest” release was 262 theaters), but Inside Llewyn Davis won’t crack the top five this week. It is only opening in four theaters on Friday before expanding to more locations on December 20. CBS Films is also planning a nationwide expansion a few weeks after that. So while their latest awards contender could do solid business eventually, it won’t for the time being.

That’s it for this week’s breakdown.

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Screen Rant Underground Podcast Header Box Office Prediction: Out of the Furnace vs. Hunger Games: Catching Fire

Now, if you want to participate in the weekly Box Office Battle, it’s time for you to make your picks! In the comments section below, post what you think will be the top five movies this weekend at the box office as well as your own number ten tiebreaker. Then, tune into the Screen Rant Underground podcast for the results and find out who won.

Opening in theaters this week (Wide):

  • Out of the Furnace – 2,000 theaters

Opening in theaters this week (Limited):

  • Inside Llewyn Davis – 4 theaters

Box Office Battle Scoring Rules: You get three (3) points for each direct match with the weekend actuals and one (1) point for each movie placed within one spot of the exact position. A perfect score is 15 points. Tie-breakers are not worth any points but, in the event of a tie, the person with a tie-breaker selection closest to the number 10 spot will be awarded the win.

Last Week’s Official Box Office Battle Reader Winner (Frozen’s opening): Sal reports that Insufferable Deadpool and Carlos both finished with perfect 15s, but Carlos is the winner by virtue of getting the tiebreaker.

For the record, here are our picks from last week – along with the corresponding amount of points we received for each pick (listed in parenthesis).

  • #1 – The Hunger Games: Catching Fire (3)
  • #2 – Frozen (3)
  • #3 – Thor: The Dark World (3)
  • #4 – The Best Man Holiday (3)
  • #5 – Homefront (3)
  • #10 – Gravity
  • Final Score: 15 points

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Make sure to check back later this week for the official box office results and tune into the Screen Rant Underground podcast for the weekly winners!

Follow Chris on Twitter @ChrisAgar90

Source: Box Office Mojo (Release Schedule)

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TAGS: box office

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  1. 1.The Hunger Games: Catching Fire
    2.Frozen
    3.Out of the Furnace
    4.Thor: The Dark World
    5.The Best Man Holiday
    10.Delivery Man.

  2. Box office battle

    1. Hunger Game catching fire
    2. Frozen
    3. Out of the furnace.
    4 thor the dark world
    5. Best man holiday
    10 Philomena

  3. 1 Catching Fire
    2 Frozen
    3 Thor
    4 Out of the furnace
    5 Best Man Holiday
    10 Bool thief

  4. you do not need to deceive them with false information!!! I suggest that you watch this film, because I knew this film was very good.
    I’ve watched this film for free here http://bit.ly/1g4rFK3

    about the Movies :

    Every superhero movie is, on some level, an attempt to demonstrate that a godlike being with flabbergasting powers — he flies! He wields a megaton hammer! — also has an inner life.
    The success of the film hinges on how well it yokes together the external and the internal. “Thor: The Dark World,” a watchable but technologically over-scaled slab of Marvel boilerplate, is far from a great superhero movie — it’s more like the diagram for one.
    Having done his time as a magical Norse hunk-out-of-water in “Thor” (2011) and “The Avengers” (2012), our hero (Chris Hemsworth) now finds himself back on Asgard. There, his father, Odin (Anthony Hopkins, serving up his own special brand of highbrow scenery chewing), enlists him in a battle for the cosmos.
    Muggles rejoice! Butterbeer is now being served at Starbucks
    The Nine Realms are about to converge, which means that the Dark Elves, led by the scowling Malekith (Christopher Eccleston), can now finally seize their moment to destroy Asgard. Are your eyes already glazing over?
    To succeed, the Elves must gain control of the Aether (pronounced ”ether”), a supreme energy force in the form of what looks like a floating spill of red wine. In the film’s rather desperate attempt to personalize the plot, the Aether, which requires a host organism, has leaped inside the body of Jane Foster (Natalie Portman), the astrophysicist who fell for Thor and has been waiting two years for him to return.
    Portman plays her like a petulant schoolgirl, and that’s the movie’s notion of a joke: Jane just wants a boyfriend, while Thor, who loves her back, has weightier concerns. Really, though, “The Dark World” should have given Jane a better reason for hanging around than the fact that she’s playing host body to a glob of extraterrestrial protoplasm.
    The first “Thor” was directed by Kenneth Branagh with an elegant verve that made the special effects at once witty and spectacular. Alan Taylor, who directed this sequel, is a prestige veteran of the small screen (“Mad Men,” “The Sopranos,” “Game of Thrones”), but he brings little of that avid storytelling tightness to “The Dark World.”
    Which ‘Star Wars’ personality are you? See the characters’ Myers-Briggs chart
    The new film sprawls, often with more spirit than reason. And though its images can be exciting (the Oz-like palace of Asgard, airships that glide like daggers), the battles have a videogame medieval dazzle that temporarily heightens the senses, then leaves you numb.
    Hemsworth’s Thor is once again a charismatically fast and bold stud-Viking warrior, but now that he’s mostly on his home planet (with occasional forays down to London), he somehow seems less super. Only when Tom Hiddleston is on screen, as Thor’s dark-souled stepbrother, Loki, does any real drama take hold.
    Loki has been imprisoned for his treachery, but it turns out that Thor needs his help to defeat the Dark Elves. Can he trust Loki not to betray him? Hiddleston, with pleading eyes and a mad-dog grin, plays Loki as a wounded sociopath who’s cackling at the world but seething on the inside. Which makes you realize he’s just about the only character in the movie who has an inside.

  5. 1. Catching Fire
    2. Frozen
    3. Out of the Furnace
    4. Thor: The Dark World
    5. The Best Man Holiday
    10. Black Nativity

  6. 1. Catching Fire
    2. Frozen
    3. Out of the Furnace
    4. Thor 2
    5. Homefront
    10. Philomena

  7. 1. Frozen
    2. The Hunger Games: Catching Fire
    3. Out of the Furnace
    4. Thor: The Dark World
    5. Homefront
    10. Delivery Man

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