Last week I wrote that I thought it was a ridiculous theory that the release of the Grand Theft Auto IV video game would hurt Iron Man’s box office numbers. Instead I wondered whether the release of Speed Racer during the second weekend of the armored avenger’s run would put a dent in Tony Stark’s armor.
Well it looks like he’ll be holding up pretty well against the race car flick as well.
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The word on the street is that the Matrix-creators’ nostalgia slash acid-trip version of Speed Racer will be lucky if it cracks the $30MM mark this weekend. It’s also being estimated that Iron Man will probably bring in about $45MM in it’s second weekend, which would mean about a 55% drop from it’s premiere last weekend.
Generally a drop anywhere below 60% is a sign that a movie is getting great word of mouth and has “legs.” Personally I’m predicting about $50MM this weekend for ol’ Shellhead.
Among the movie blogosphere, the consensus for the past weeks and months has been that Speed Racer would make big bucks on it’s opening weekend (I thought that myself until very recently) but it’s looking like it may not do so well after all. Perhaps the all out psychedelic assault on the audience’s senses will be too much for the average moviegoer?
On the other hand you’ve got to balance this against the fact that parents are desperate for movies they can bring their kids to without worrying about inappropriate content: and Speed Racer is rated an innocuous PG.
It’ll be interesting to see how this weekend pans out for both of these mega-movies.
Source: HollywoodWireTap.com
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7 Comments
I just read an article that had Bobby Rahal and his son came from a screening of Speed Racer and it was rather telling that they seemed to only associate with the idea of a racing family, were overwhelmed by the CGI, the story confused them and thought one of the hi-lights of the movie was that NASCAR wasn’t mentioned in it. .. grr. What do ya want from IRL drivers? Sheesh.
With that being said, I think the market for this flick is going to be very narrow. Fans from the ‘toon and kids who like CGI overload… but hey, I might be wrong.
You’re probably right on this one Vic.
I’m really off on this movie. Here in Belgium I haven’t seen a single thing of Speed Racer. I’ve obly seen the trailer once on the internet, and of course reading some bits here. It’s made by the brother Matrix, that’s the only thing that’s maybe gonna make me go and see it. So, can anybody please tell me what this Speed Racer actually is? Is it another comic back there in the US? Because, the movie looks kinde weird, and on it’s very own style.
greets
Steven
Steven,
The movie is from an anime cartoon back in the 70’s. Speed is the name of the kid who drives the Mach 5, a very fast car with lots of cool gadgets (saws coming from the front bumpers and tires, a suspension system that allows the car to jump, et. al.); think of the Mach 5 as a souped-up Bond car. Every episode of the cartoon had Speed solving problems through racing.
Belgium, huh? Send me some of those famous waffles.
)
*sends packet of wafles for the nice explanation*
Oh so it really is something known back there. Over here, it’s just something coming out of the blue.
Today I’ve seen Iron Man, really loved it, was just what it was ment to be. And I think this Speed Racer is not going to beat Iron Man over here, by far. When I was in the theatre, I saw a cardboard display for Speed, and that’s exactly the only thing I’ve seen so far (in Belgium that is, not trailers online).
But as you say, sounds a bit like Bond-racing kind of film. Not really sure if this is my kind of movie, we’ll just have to wait and see
greets
Steven
Wait…who the heck thought this movie would do well in theatres? It’s called speedracer and has John Goodman in it.
It may make decent money but it sure as **** will not be a blockbuster by any means. Look at it, its a colourful drug-induced mess of a racing movie and I do not think it has much appeal in the big demographic of late teens and ppl in the 20s-30s.
I don’t think it will have any impact on ironman
I’ve never seen the original, and I’m not always all that big on effects, but I thought it was totally awesome. The acting isn’t shockingly brilliant or anything, but it’s much better than I expect from a movie like this, and overall I thought it was about a thousand times better than the critics said. Between the awesome cars and hot guys I think it should appeal to a healthy chunk of the 20-30-somethings.
I just saw Speed Racer and Iron Man is safe, until Prince Caspian. SR wasn’t horrible but it wasn’t as good as I hoped; it also wasn’t as bad as rottentomatoes say.
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