The Dark Knight: Failed Predictions And Monster Box Office

Published 7 years ago by

dark knight joker The Dark Knight: Failed Predictions And Monster Box Office

First things first, ladies and germs. This article is not going to make any reference to the assault charges against Christian Bale.

For any thoughts and/or comments on said matter, our buddy Bruce Simmons has written up a damn-fine article detailing the Bale arrest situation as it stands right now where you can give your $.02 on that matter.

So anyway, a solid month ago, yours truly wrote up an article questioning the insane pre-release hysteria over the release of the Batman Begins sequel The Dark Knight, asking whether or not the box-office predictions many were making were in fact realistic expectations.

Well… there’s no two-ways around it – when you’re wrong, you’re wrong, folks. And I was dead wrong! To be fair, I always thought The Dark Knight was going to pull in solid numbers. And I can point to you God knows how many examples where fans over-blew their box-office predictions based solely on their own anticipation and none-stop Internet hype.

Of course, some over-zealous readers decided to put words in my mouth and claim my article was “an attempt to capitalize on the hype for the film and attack it.” Uhh… that would be: no. Anyone using 1/3 of their brain would realize I wasn’t doing that in the slightest. The article was fair and objective.

In fact, I brought these concerns to Jett (aka the big-cheese over at Batman On Film News) who actually agreed with me(!) and stated he’d told the regulars on his own forum to keep their own expectations within reason based on the dark nature of the film.

Of course, we (especially me) have egg on our face. The Dark Knight proved to be the rare exception to the rule of Internet and fanboy hype. To be honest, it’s good to wrong sometimes – especially with a film as solid as this.

So as it stands, The Dark Knight has in fact broken quiet a few records… with more to come. The Christopher Nolan-helmed sequel has claimed the biggest 3-day opening weekend ($158.4 million), midnight opening ($18.4 million), Friday, opening day and single day openings ($67.2 million), July and PG-13 rated openings ($158.4 million) and Sunday opening ($43.6 million).

Not to mention, just today it also broke the record for fastest to $200 million (5 days) and biggest 5 day opening ($203.8 million). And by the end of this weekend (if not sooner), it will break the fastest to $300 million record – which is currently held by Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man’s Chest in 16 days.

In fact, a number of box-office experts are now saying $400 million is a lock and The Dark Knight is likely to topple Shrek 2 as the highest grossing film of the decade ($441 million). One wonders just how big this film will be once it hits the foreign box-office…

The Dark Knight is now in theatres – go add to the pot.

Get our free email alerts on the topics and author of this article:


Post a Comment

GravatarWant to change your avatar?
Go to and upload your own (we'll wait)!

 Rules: No profanity or personal attacks.
 Use a valid email address or risk being banned from commenting.

If your comment doesn't show up immediately, it may have been flagged for moderation. Please try refreshing the page first, then drop us a note and we'll retrieve it. Keep in mind that we do not allow external links in the comments.

  1. Hey Jamie, I wouldn’t worry about it. I never considered you to be wrong so to say. Its a prediction after all and it was a speculative article.
    I had more prob with the film than your article. ;-)

    How high is that Titanic record again ????? This will come close. I predict that.

    The dvds alone are gonna blow the dvd market wide open. It will set records there too.

  2. TDK wont come close to Titanics record
    $400 maybe but thats a long way from Titanics record .

  3. Well that are good numbers :).
    Anyways, over here (Belgium) there was a lot of marketing (and still is) going, but I went to see an early (5 AM) show on the first day (yesterday), the people who came reserved their ticket, but the room was only 1/3th full.
    Americans are more movie-going than Europeans, I guess, and more comic-book fans.
    Still, with those numbers, we can prettu sure say that Nolan and Bale will be back! And I secretly hope they make 5 of them, and not 3, this is just a serie that’s worth it. This is no Matrix or Pirates, the sequel was actually better than the first, with top actors and all.


  4. Are they even making sequels to the golden compass?

    I didn’t enjoy that movie at all.

  5. @ZAR Easy boy – I was on the fence regarding whether or not to delete your post.


  6. I saw about 5 min, of The Golden Compass and it was horrible. ;-)

  7. I think the public is stupid overall, and fat too.

    What you talkin bout Greenknight333. Speed Racer was aweosme.!!! ;-)

  8. @Vic: I’m sorry, my choice of words may have been too strong!

    But I’m not going to excuse for what I said (if that’s your point).

    People who won’t distinguish between criticism on the church and criticism on the religion ARE religious zealots! Besides, I saw a lot of the protests AND the protesters and they obviously had NEITHER seen the movie NOR read the novels! When a person is trying to harm someone or something out of deliberate ignorance, this is fanaticism and definitely moronic as well!

    We critisize his kind of mobilised mob (someone obviously had an interest in getting these people together in the first place) elsewhere, but when it happens right in our own country, we just accept it as “ok”?


  9. 400 million?? it could make that by next weekend go to boxofficemojo and check the daily box office for Spiderman etc they will run this thing until its making a $100 grand a day easily $500 million in the us it could do that in a month actually more and more people are going to see it 3 and 4 times I know at least 10 people who want to see it in IMAX which is even more $$$

  10. So boxofficemojo is projecting that TDK will beat out The Mummy 3 to stay on top for a third staight weekend and will land by the end of Sunday night at around $394 million domestic take alone in only 17 days. $500 million is within range and maybe close to if not more than $1 billion worldwide…wow

  11. btw saw it on an Imax screen finally and…WOW…if you haven’t seen it on Imax you have to check it out, it’s worth the trip and the extra coin. I think if Nolan does a third film his next logical step would be to shoot the entire movie in Imax

  12. IMAX is the way to see it