‘Captain America 2′ Box Office Forecast and A May 2016 ‘Captain America 3′ Release Date

Published 1 year ago by

Today is the world premiere of Captain America: The Winter Soldier and the cast and crew along with loads of celebrities will be attending the red carpet event in just a few hours. The Captain America sequel not only represents the first Marvel film release of 2014, but it’s the first Phase 2 film of the Marvel Cinematic Universe to delve back into the shared continuity of the franchise as a whole, bridging the gap between The Avengers and its 2015 sequel, Age of Ultron.

Chris Evans returns as the titular hero, joined by several important allies in fellow Avenger Black Widow (Scarlett Johansson) and new character Falcon (Anthony Mackie) as they take on a mysterious threat spearheaded in the field by The Winter Soldier (Sebastian Stan). The studio has the utmost confidence in the spring release, having signed directors Anthony and Joe Russo, along with writers Christopher Markus and Stephen McFeely, to begin work already on Captain America 3.

Combined with the immensely positive early reactions from media who screened Captain America: The Winter Soldier earlier this week ahead of the press junket, and it’s no surprise that Marvel Studios is fast-tracking a three-quel to begin shooting in 2015, that is, according to the Russos who revealed that in an interview with the New York Post’s Reed Tucker.

If they’re shooting in 2015 that means Captain America 3 is coming in 2016, and if that’s the case, Marvel Studios already has two dates for unannounced projects locked down – one on May 6 2016 and the other on July 8 2016. Kevin Feige told us last year that the studio likes the “rhythm” of having a sequel to an established property followed by a new one each year so that would mean Captain America 3 is coming May 6, 2016, a date that’s also shared by DC Entertainment and Warner Bros.’ recently delayed Batman vs. Superman. As we confirmed last night, Marvel is not moving away from the date and rumors are already pointing towards the Man of Steel sequel potentially moving earlier.

Evidently, THR read the same stuff as their “sources” claim Captain America 3 is definitely coming that day as well. Now all we need to do is wait for Marvel Studios to make that official which Feige said will happen in the first half of this year, possibly even before their usual announcement venue (San Diego Comic-Con). What THR does have that’s legitimately new however, is the early box office forecast for Captain America 2 which sees it raking in $80 million in its opening April weekend. That’s just the domestic opening haul since it opens a week earlier in the UK.

Unannounced Captain America 3 Logo Captain America 2 Box Office Forecast and A May 2016 Captain America 3 Release Date

That puts Cap 2’s performance around or just under that of Thor: The Dark World, likely meaning it’ll bring in a similar total or just a little less. If you recall, the first Thor outperformed Captain America: The First Avenger in 2011 as well so Chris Hemsworth’s Asgardian Avenger is currently Marvel’s top solo hero earner after Robert Downey Jr.’s Iron Man. Similar to Thor 2 opening in November 2013, Cap 2’s spring release is another test for the studio who up until this point has released all of its films in the key summer blockuster season.

That makes it all the more interesting that Marvel is reportedly planning to switch the order of releases in Phase 3, putting Captain America 3 before Thor 3. Of course, such a move is all part of the great plan in the setup for The Avengers 3 which is presumed to release in summer 2018. If Thor 3 is part of Phase 3 and not being saved until later, it’s coming May 2017 – again, because established sequel comes first.

Captain America 2 The Winter Soldier Post Credits Spoiler Captain America 2 Box Office Forecast and A May 2016 Captain America 3 Release Date

It’s possible though that Guardians of the Galaxy gets a sequel for a third Thor, and some fans are still hoping for a Mark Ruffalo Hulk standalone picture, but we know Phase 4 is already in early development as well with a rough plan in place for Marvel Studios all the way until 2021. Then again, Thor 3 just got writers officially attached last month so it’s already in development as well, before Guardians has even released.

Can Captain America: The Winter Soldier beat out Thor: The Dark World’s $85 million domestic opening weekend with an April release? Will Warner Bros. keep Batman vs. Superman where it is against it in May 2016? Is Thor 3 a Phase 4 movie? Share your thoughts in the comments below!


More: Captain America 2 After-Credits Spoilers


Captain America: The Winter Soldier is produced by Kevin Feige, directed by Anthony and Joe Russo, from a screenplay by Christopher Markus & Stephen McFeely, and stars Chris Evans, Scarlett Johansson, Sebastian Stan, Anthony Mackie, Cobie Smulders, Frank Grillo, Emily VanCamp and Hayley Atwell, with Robert Redford as Alexander Pierce and Samuel L. Jackson as Nick Fury.

Captain America: The Winter Soldier hits theaters April 4, 2014, Guardians of the Galaxy on August 1, 2014, The Avengers: Age of Ultron on May 1, 2015, Ant-Man on July 17, 2015, and unannounced films for May 6 2016, July 8 2016 and May 5 2017.

Follow Rob on Twitter @rob_keyes for your Marvel movie news!

Sources: MarvelTHR

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  1. Thoughts

    1, Would be cool if Cap 3 introduces a new villain and also introduces Black Panther as an antagonist protecting Wakanda.

    2. I’m super pro Marvel BUT I’m not betting on Cap 3 beating out Bat v Supes at the box office. UNLESS Cap 3 brings back Falcon and Black Widow as well as a new popular villain and also adding in Ant-Man, Thor, Hulk, or Iron Man.

    • Right you are. A Captain America sequel that featured Black Panther and Cap fighting back an invasion of Wakanda led by Ulysses Klaw, Baron Von Strucker, Crossbones, Sin, and others, would look incredible on the big screen.

      • Captain America 3 with Falcon and Black Panther would be GREAT!!! to go against Batman Vs Superman featuring Wonder Woman.

  2. Cap 2 does not get as big a boost overseas as the other Marvel movies.

    Box office projection for Cap 2

    Domestic – 25% greater than Cap 1 = $221,000,000
    Foreign – 40% greater than Cap 1 = $271,000,000

    Worldwide total for Cap 2 = $492,000,000

    Not bad at all! Even a little more gets it to $500,000,000 worldwide! Pretty good considering most sequels don’t increase this much.

  3. Would be cool if, Cap 3 is a crossover movie to Black Panther

    Think about the cool visuals and possible ideas…YOU ALL SHOULD READ…WHAT DO YOU THINK?

    – Cap gets set up for a crime and SHIELD wants to arrest Cap.
    – Falcon comes to speak in defense of Cap.
    – Stark comes in and he says he’s working for SHIELD now as a liaison and wants the
    – Cap tells Tony that SHIELD can’t be trusted and he is mad that Tony wouldn’t trust
    – SHIELD begins to transport Cap to a secret prison across the world.
    – Something happens to the transport and crashes into Africa
    – Cap goes into hiding and we get to see Cap’s survival skills in Africa. Surviving in
    desert, jungle, savannah, etc and also fighting wildlife like lions, hyena, gorilla,
    and/or crocodiles. THIS LEADS TO…
    – Black Panther who has been secretly tracking Klaw and his men finds Cap during his
    – He watches Cap get caught in one of BP’s traps. BP tells him he needs to leave his
    – Cap explains who he is and that there are outside forces looking for him and will
    stop at nothing to get him back.
    – Klaw and his men attack them as they talk. The 2 of them help each other in the
    fight which leads them to trust each other after escaping.
    – We could see Cap grab a big piece of Vibranium to block a blast and realizes it can
    work as substitute for his missing shield.
    – Have Falcon (Who has been searching for Cap) and SHIELD agents enter at end of movie
    to assist BP, Cap and Wakandan’s in a massive attack on Wakanda by Klaw and HYDRA.
    – At end of movie we see Cap and Falcon being presented with an award by the United
    Nations for assistance in protecting another world nation.
    – During the speeches Cap is assassinated while the world watches.

  4. Based on early reviews, it seems that Marvel paid more attention to Cap 2 than it did to Thor 2. However, if Cap 3 truly is slated for May 2015 to go against Superman / Batman, I doubt I will see either one. First, a steroid created super hero has no appeal to me. In fact, it sends a bad message to our youth. Second, Ben Affleck as Batman is not good news for Superman / Batman. I enjoyed Batman Begins and to some degree, The Dark Knight. I didn’t like the third movie. Regarding the Superman franchise, I thought Man Of Steel was the best Superman movie to date. But somehow, I see Superman vs Batman taking the franchise to new low considering who is playing Batman.

    Now, if Thor 3 was being released in May 2016, I definitely would be going to the movies that month to the return of Marvel’s most powerful and most interesting hero. Regardless, I eagerly await Thor 3, whether it is released in 2016 and 2017. And yes, Thor 3 definitely is part of Phase III.

  5. The foreign opening weekend box office gross is already up, it made $75.2M…compared to Thor TDW, which opened in foreign markets at $106M, I doubt if Cap 2 will reach the box office gross you people are hoping it would.