Welcome to the Screen Rant Box Office Prediction. Every week we put together an informal list of box office picks for the upcoming weekend to offer readers a rough estimate of how new releases (and returning holdovers) will perform in theaters.

For a recap of last week’s box office totals, read our box office wrap-up from Logan‘s opening weekend, and scroll to the bottom of this post to see how our picks matched up.

Full disclosure: Box office predictions are not an exact science. We acknowledge our picks may not always be correct. For the sake of offering a jumping off point for discussion, here are our picks for the weekend of March 17 – 19, 2017.

This weekend, Beauty and the Beast opens in 4,210 theaters and The Belko Experiment debuts in 1,350 locations.

#1 – Beauty and the Beast

In the old days of the Screen Rant Underground’s box office prediction game, certain projects would earn the standing of “automatic three points,” meaning their place in the top spot was guaranteed. Disney’s live-action remake of Beauty and the Beast certainly fits that description, and the only real question is how high it can go. The film is already a record breaker via advanced ticket sales and could possibly challenge the all-time March opening mark. Audiences are buying into Disney’s reinterpretations of their animated classics, and Beauty is one of their standout titles. Since the original came out in 1991, it’s been a favorite of many and is considered one of the best animated films ever made.

As such, the pieces are in place for a box office juggernaut to emerge. Not only does the property have a built-in fan base, the early reviews have been mostly positive (read ours), praising the new version for being a faithful adaptation. It’s also been a while since there was a true family film reaching theaters (LEGO Batman was over a month ago), so the target demographic is probably eager to see something new. Following the success of The Jungle Book ($364 million) and Cinderella ($201.1 million), Beauty and the Beast should be a slam dunk. Projections indicate a $175 million haul for its first three days, which would be a new March record.

Beauty and the Beast 2017 Emma Watson Belle Dress Box Office Prediction   Kong: Skull Island vs. Beauty and the Beast

#2 – Kong: Skull Island

Look for last week’s champ, Kong: Skull Island (read our review), to slide to second in its second weekend. Though the MonsterVerse installment was able to surpass commercial expectations during its debut, there is no way it can pose even a slight challenge to Beauty and the Beast. Since word-of-mouth was decent, it should continue to do well, but Skull Island will see its business drop a bit. The bright side is that its target audience of action/genre fans may opt for it over the Disney fairy tale.

#3 – Logan

Our pick for third is Logan (read our review), which came in second last week with $38.1 million. The R-rated comic book adaptation has been a big hit throughout the month, and though its time in the #1 slot was brief, it’s still posting healthy numbers for itself as its run progresses. That should continue this week, as viewers in the mood for something of Logan‘s tone and style have few other options.

Dafne Keen as X 23 in Logan movie Box Office Prediction   Kong: Skull Island vs. Beauty and the Beast

#4 – Get Out

Horror/thriller Get Out (read our review) should come in fourth. Jordan Peele’s directorial debut has been highly successful since it came out last month and demonstrated strong legs thanks to an enthusiastic response. Even as more high-profile blockbuster fare continues to open, odds are Get Out will still be an audience favorite and continue to stick around for at least one more week.

#5 – The Shack

Rounding out the top five should be The Shack. The religious drama has done well within its niche, grossing $35.5 million domestically so far. It’s not a crossover hit by any means, but its target audience is aware it’s playing and will likely seek it out again this week.

Last Week’s Recap

Our Picks:

  1. Kong: Skull Island
  2. Logan
  3. Get Out
  4. The Shack
  5. The LEGO Batman Movie

Actuals:

  1. Kong: Skull Island
  2. Logan
  3. Get Out
  4. The Shack
  5. The LEGO Batman Movie

Next Week: Power Rangers, Life, and more!

Sources: Box Office Mojo (Release Schedule), Box Office (Opening Weekend Projections)

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