Welcome to the Screen Rant Box Office Prediction. Every week we put together an informal list of box office picks for the upcoming weekend to offer readers a rough estimate of how new releases (and returning holdovers) will perform in theaters.
For a recap of last week’s box office totals, read our box office wrap-up from Beauty and the Beast‘s opening weekend, and scroll to the bottom of this post to see how our picks matched up.
Full disclosure: Box office predictions are not an exact science. We acknowledge our picks may not always be correct. For the sake of offering a jumping off point for discussion, here are our picks for the weekend of March 24 – 26, 2017.
This weekend, Power Rangers opens in 3,693 theaters, Life plays in more than 2,500 locations, and CHIPS debuts in more than 2,400 theaters.
#1 – Beauty and the Beast
Look for last week’s champ, Beauty and the Beast (read our review), to repeat in the top spot during it second weekend. Disney’s latest live-action remake from the animated library broke March box office records in its debut, posting an impressive $170 million domestically in three days. The film was boosted by mostly positive reviews and audience reception, taking full advantage of its built-in fan base and brand recognition. Though there are a trio of new releases coming to theaters this week (more on them in a minute), the box office prospects for those three are not nearly high enough to dethrone Beauty for first place. Its opening weekend was so high, it would take a monumental drop for it to slide down the charts. That seems unlikely to happen, so the Mouse House should reign supreme again.
#2 – Power Rangers
Coming in second should be Power Rangers (read our review), the cinematic reboot of Saban’s iconic property. The franchise has been at the forefront of popular culture since it debuted in the 1990s and has generations of fans eager to see a new take on the material – especially with modern visual effects. Distributor Lionsgate has big plans for this interpretation, as they allegedly have an outline of a six-film saga waiting in the wings. That puts a lot of pressure on this origin story to perform well and get audiences excited about the mighty morphing heroes.
With that in mind, it will be interesting to see how Power Rangers does commercially. The movie has received a mixed critical reception, as pundits believe it struggles to find a consistent tone and is lacking in action. That will probably hurt its mass appeal, particularly among casual audiences who are not already following the brand. As such, the expectation is for Power Rangers to have a relatively soft opening domestically as Beauty and the Beast continues to dominate. Projections indicate a debut of around $36 million, and Lionsgate will be hoping for a boost from the international markets.
#3 – Life
We believe the new sci-fi film Life (read our review) will come in third. The movie’s profile is bolstered by an all-star cast that includes the likes of Ryan Reynolds, Jake Gyllenhaal, and Mission: Impossible – Rogue Nation standout Rebecca Ferguson. None of those stars are particularly sizable draws on their own (Reynolds’ biggest hit is the franchise entry Deadpool), but they’re all recognizable names and could interest genre fans. In addition to the talented ensemble, Life has also received mostly positive reviews for being an entertaining take on the old Alien formula, though it is not exactly a critical darling. High-profile competition will prevent it from getting too high, but estimates at $16.5 million would make for a solid start.
#4 – Kong: Skull Island
Look for Kong: Skull Island (read our review) to come in fourth this weekend. The MonsterVerse installment held relatively well considering what it was going up against, illustrating that audiences are somewhat interested in what Warner Bros. has in store for the franchise. Though the film is trailing behind Godzilla in terms of box office gross, it still has done well for itself throughout its run. Power Rangers looks to take some of the PG-13 tentpole crowd away, but those not interested in the Rangers have a solid option in King Kong.
#5 – Logan
Rounding out the top five should be Logan (read our review). Fox’s latest R-rated comic book hit continues to draw in crowds thanks to its unrelenting take on the Wolverine mythos and the extremely positive word-of-mouth. Its time at the top of the charts is slowly but surely coming to a close, though it should stick around for at least another week.
Last Week’s Recap
Next Week: Ghost in the Shell, The Boss Baby, and more!